Not so AFFORDABLE Northgate

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 None of NORTHGATE MALL (converted to Residential) will be affordable to 
Acutely Low, Extremely Low and Very Low INCOME FAMILIES

 

SQUARE FEET

 

 

 

 

 

RESIDENTIAL 1

AFFORDABLE

% Affordabe in BEDROOMS =

98/ 974 = 10%

 

65,140

% Affordabe

in SQFT =

65,140 / 829,731

= 7.85%

      

BEDROOMS

UNITS

BEDROOMS

   San Rafael

RENT

Min INCOME required at 35%

Income
Category

Studio

24

24

$2,000

$68,571

LOW

1

24

24

$2,450

$84,000

LOW

2

24

48

$3,325

$114,000

LOW

3

24

72

$4,367

$149,725

MODERATE

TOTAL

98

 

 

 

RESIDENTIAL 2

 

196,505

BEDROOMS

UNITS

BEDROOMS

 

 

 

2

42

84

 

 

 

3

36

108

 

 

 

4

7

28

 

 

 

TOTAL

220

 

 

 

RESIDENTIAL 3

 

231,300

BEDROOMS

UNITS

BEDROOMS

 

 

 

Studio

63

63

 

 

 

1

164

164

 

 

 

2

53

106

 

 

 

TOTAL

333

 

 

 

RESIDENTIAL 4

 

401,926

BEDROOMS

UNITS

BEDROOMS

 

 

 

Studio

25

25

 

 

 

1

305

164

 

 

 

2

116

232

 

 

 

TOTAL

421

 

 

 

TOTAL

RESIDENTIAL 2-4

829,731

 

974

 

 

 

---

 To Planning and Developer:
Please verify the numbers and disclose prominently in public documentation

·      % "Affordable" in SQFT = 7.85%

·      % "Affordable" in BEDROOMS = 10%

Thanks,

And maybe offer a reason why the percentages are not closer to 20% ?

 

Calculate the UNITS per Income Category from “rent per unit” and “Number of persons” = bedrooms.

And rental expenditure to be no more than 30% of income ?

( Where RENT SOURCE is Zillow:

 And a possible explanation why none of the “AFFORDABLE” units are for Acutely Low, Extremely Low and Very Low.

And why one quarter of the “AFFORDABLE” units are for MODERATE INCOME families.

All disclosed please.

SOURCE https://www.cityofsanrafael.org/northgate-town-square-rev/

Income-restricted units is capped at 30% of the tenant's income . Thats:

Family Income Category  for Family of
  1 2 4
  $ Rent CAP Income $ Rent CAP Income $ Rent CAP Income
ACUTELY LOW 490 19,600 560 22,400 701 28,050
EXTREMELY LOW 1,028 41,150 1,175 47,000 1,469 58,750
VERY LOW 1,714 68,550 1,958

78,350

2,448 97,900

 using

 2024

Income
Categories

  Number of persons in Household

$

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

  Marin County

 4-Person  Median Income:

$186,600

 

Acutely Low 15%

19,600

22,400

25,200

28,0050

24,250

26,050

27,850

29,650

Extremely Low 30%

41,150

47,000

52,900

58,750

59,200

63,600

68,000

72,350

Very Low  50%

68,550

78,350

88,150

97,900

98,700

106,000

113,300

120,600

Low 80%

109,700

125,350

141,000

156,650

158,100

169,800

181,500

193,200

Median

130,600

149,300

167,950

186,600

161,550

173,550

185,500

197,450

Moderate 120%

156,750

179,100

201,500

223,900

193,850

208,200

222,600

236,950

 source

 2O21

Income
Categories

  Number of persons in Household

$

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

  Marin County

 

4-Person Area Median Income:

$149,600

 

Acutely Low 15%

15,700

17,950

20,200

22,450

24,250

26,050

27,850

29,650

Extremely Low 30%

38,400

43,850

49,350

54,800

59,200

63,600

68,000

72,350

Very Low  50%

63,950

73,100

82,250

91,350

98,700

106,000

113,300

120,600

Low 80%

102,450

117,100

131,750

146,350

158,100

169,800

181,500

193,200

Median

104,700

119,700

134,650

149,600

161,550

173,550

185,500

197,450

Moderate 120%

125,650

143,600

161,550

179,500

193,850

208,200

222,600

236,950

 

SONOMA

 2024

Income
Categories

  Number of persons in Household

$

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

Sonoma County

 4-Person  Median Income:

$126,400

 

Acutely Low 15%

13,500

15,400

17,350

19,250

24,250

26,050

27,850

29,650

Extremely Low 30%

29,050

33,200

37,350

41,500

59,200

63,600

68,000

72,350

Very Low  50%

48,450

55,350

62,250

69,150

98,700

106,000

113,300

120,600

Low 80%

77,500

88,600

99,650

110,700

158,100

169,800

181,500

193,200

Median

       

161,550

173,550

185,500

197,450

Moderate 120%

107,850

123,300

138,700

154,100

193,850

208,200

222,600

236,950

Income-restricted units is capped at 30% of the tenant's income .

Thats:

Family Income Category  for Family of  ( in SONOMA)
  1 2 4
  $ Rent CAP Income $ Rent CAP Income $ Rent CAP Income
ACUTELY LOW 337 13,500 $385 15,400 $481 19,250
EXTREMELY LOW 726 29,050 $1,175 33,200 $1,475 41,500
VERY LOW 1,211 48,450 $1,384 55,350 1,729 69,150

Average rent in Sonoma: 

bulletStudio:  ---------- $905 , 261 sq ft
bulletOne bedroom: $1,363 , 492 sq ft
bulletTwo bedroom: $1,896 , 962 sq ft

So clearly we need to be capping rent/price by restricting to VERY LOW income families and below.

=========================

Proposed Development at 555 Northgate Drive

- 7-stories, 200 units, adjacent to Northgate mall.
5 stories of one and two bedroom apartments - above two stories of parking for 139 vehicles.
Demolish the existing office building.

the SMART train station makes it eligible for a height increase to 69 feet. ( else it would have been 36).
Senate Bill 330 limits the number of public hearings to no more than 5, including appeals.

80% for LOW income households and 19% for MODERATE.
But
LOW income levels are up to

bullet$125,350/yr for a family of 2 &
bullet$156,650 for family of 4).

MODERATE income levels are up to

bullet$179,100/yr for a family of 2 &
bullet$223,900 for family of 4.

-------------
Income-restricted units is capped at 30% of the tenant's income of

bullet$125k for LOW-income-family of 2 and
bullet$156k for family of 4.
Thats LOW-income rent of $3,125 & $3,900 respectively.
MODERATE income family max rent is $4,475 & $5,600 resp.

AND THATS AFFORDABLE ?
--------------------
$3,125 rent is affordable ? ( even $2,750 for a single person ? )
When the average 1-bdrm rent in San Rafael, is $2,300.
( 2-bedroom: $2,800 )
-------------------
The whole intent of the State's Housing Legislation is to cap rents to make it affordable.
But as long as the developer can aim solely at LOW(up to 80% of median) and MODERATE(up to 120% of median)
--- the cap (for Marin ) will have no relation to affordable.
The legislation does nothing to make rent affordable (in Marin).
And deters NO landlord from charging unaffordable rent ( to all categories MODERATE and under !
They need to cap rent at VERY LOW not just LOW income families.!

------------------

-----------------
Income-restricted units is capped at 30% of the tenant's income of
$22k for ACUTELY LOW-income-family of 2 and
$28k for family of 4.
Thats:
ACUTELY LOW-income-family rent of -------- $550 & - $700 respectively.
EXTREMELY LOW income family max rent is $1,175 & $1,475 resp.
VERY LOW ----- income family max rent is $1,950 & $2,450 resp.
So clearly we need to be capping rent/price by restricting to VERY LOW income families and below.
-------------------
The point is -- those RENT CAPS are supposed to be AFFORDABLE.
The legislation does nothing to make that happen (in Marin).
And deters NO landlord from charging unaffordable rent ( to LOW and MODERATES) !

---------------------
You might want to reconsider NOT renewing SMART's SALES TAX when

bullet1. SMART takes only 126 cars off HWY101 ( at all points between Santa Rosa Airport and San Rafael) during the weekday commute.
bullet2. SMART’s Sales Tax has subsidized a ROUNDTRIP - $128 in 2019, $168 in 2020, $518 in 2021, $240 in 2022, when including DEBT SERVICE.

https://www.marincounty.info/SMART/smart.htm
-------------
Here's how wonderful SMART is.
 You could give every current Rider $128 to take a limo to and from their destination (roundtrip) door-to-door !!
(Instead of taking SMART).

How wonderful is that? And it wouldn't cost any more than SMART's Expenditures including Debt Service !!
--------------------------
Go to the chart on https://www.marincounty.info/SMART/Latest/SMART_at_a_CROSSROADS-Marin_Grand_Jury_2023.htm
 SUBSIDY is (EXPENDITURE minus FAREBOX REV ) divided by BOARDINGS (times 2 for per roundtrip ) .
--------------------------

Because 555 Northgate Drive is < half mile from the SMART STATION it is NOT REQUIRED TO PROVIDE PARKING !!
https://epermits.cityofsanrafael.org/eTRAKiT3/viewAttachment.aspx?Group=PROJECT&ActivityNo=PLAN24-149&key=EPRS%3a240905011256745 

RHNA - State Mandated Number of Permits to be issued

Every community has been mandated to create a certain amount of housing.
The numbers are here: https://abag.ca.gov/sites/default/files/documents/2021-12/Final_RHNA_Allocation_Report_2023-2031-approved_0.pdf

u can compare it to housing permits issued for all Bay Area jurisdictions for the period between 2007 and 2014 https://www.marincounty.info/Housing/2014_housing_elements.htm#permits

Its crazy that the State is DEMANDING construction of ABOVE MODERATE housing.
Especially when the number in that category is invariably higher than the number in any other category !!
ie Tiburon 243 out of a total of 639 ( 193, 110, 93 for the other categories.
The State has no business mandating this.

• San Rafael Homeless DebateNORTHGATE's FUTUREAirB&B Host's dispute with HandymanSB 743 Updating Transportation Impacts Analysis in the CEQA GuidelinesIn California 40% live near major roadsPlanning & Affordable Housing in MarinAvailable Housing for Development 201212012_Draft_Marin_County_Housing_ElementMarin Audubon buys 63 Acres of HabitatProp13 yet huge Tax RevenueEast Bay CommutingCA_Air_Resources_Board--Climate_Change_Scoping_Plan_May2014Water Tanks, Pipes, Pumps & HydrantsMarin Water Supply Increase StudyCalifornia Air Pollution Control Officers AssociationMarin ventures into PUBLIC HOUSING & Rent RegulationNot so AFFORDABLE NorthgateMarin Homeless Housing Providersdensity bonusMV Affordable Housing demolishedPossible Open Space DevelopmentSR 134 HomesSt VincentAI Riots & Revolution •    
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Last modified: Wednesday April 09, 2025.